On August 4, the Veza Center for Public Analytics held a broadcast with its head Valerii Klochk and international political analyst Maksym Nesvitailov. The discussion focused on the diplomatic visits of Vitkoff and Kellogg, the ongoing Ukraine war talks, Donald Trump's statements, sanctions, and the role of India and China on the global stage.
The speakers noted that the visits by Vitkoff and Kellogg appear coordinated but are unlikely to bring real progress to the peace process. Trump's search for maneuvering room for the US in applying pressure on Russia and imposing sanctions was analyzed, with emphasis on Putin's ability to bypass sanctions and the crucial role of monitoring their enforcement.
Particular focus was given to India's shifting position on purchasing Russian oil, its dual approach, and its Trump-like negotiation tactics with the US. The analysts expressed skepticism that India will abandon Russian energy, as the financial losses could reach billions of dollars.
The future leaders' meeting at the Victory Parade in Beijing, marking the 80th anniversary of the end of WWII, was also discussed. The likelihood of Trump, Putin, and other international figures attending was considered, with the opinion that Trump’s participation would be symbolically disadvantageous given his domestic rhetoric.
In conclusion, the participants described the current negotiations as unpromising, predicting little positive change soon. Their only optimism lies in the potential for increased Western assistance to Ukraine in defense technologies.
