CNN has published an analysis outlining five possible scenarios for ending the war. At the same time, Donald Trump has changed his position on negotiations: a meeting between Putin and Zelensky is no longer mandatory for US-Russia talks. This has caused concern among European allies and is widely discussed in political circles.
The White House is reportedly considering a trilateral meeting, but sources in Europe note increasing opacity in the negotiation process. The US emphasizes the need for concrete actions from Russia instead of rhetoric. Commenting on the situation, Trump pulled back from strict deadlines and demands for pressure on Putin, which was negatively received among European partners. EU diplomatic circles remain skeptical about Russia's intentions for real peace.
Ukrainian officials remain cautiously optimistic about the prospect of a partial ceasefire, but trust between the parties is low and the likelihood of substantive progress remains limited. Zelensky stated that reclaiming territories militarily is currently impossible, emphasizing the need for diplomatic solutions without legitimizing Russian occupation.
CNN has modeled the following scenarios for ending the war: 1) Russia immediately declares a ceasefire (considered unlikely); 2) Prolonged negotiations following Russian territorial advances; 3) Maintained status quo for two years, increasing economic pressure on Russia; 4) Russian breakthrough, threatening Ukraine’s existence; 5) Russia enters internal crisis similar to the Soviet-Afghanistan experience, which does not guarantee Ukraine’s security.
The conclusion suggests that none of the scenarios are ideal for Ukraine, highlighting the need for ongoing support. The article also notes current fundraising efforts for Ukraine’s National Guard and military units.
