In a recent interview with Fox News, US Senator Marco Rubio discussed the prospects for ending the war in Ukraine and the positions of key global players. Rubio noted that the US understands some of the conditions under which Russia might be willing to end the war, and that these positions need to be reconciled with those of Europe and Ukraine. According to Rubio, the issues of territory and a ceasefire are central, a view echoed by Russian officials.
Experts point out that Russia is ready to negotiate borders, but only under terms favorable to itself. The possibility of meaningful negotiations may depend largely on China's involvement, as Beijing remains the main external influencer over Russia. Yet, currently, the prospects for effective negotiations remain low.
The discussion also touches on India signaling a willingness for dialogue with China and maintaining its role as a major buyer of Russian oil, along with China. Brazil, through its engagement in BRICS, additionally affects global dynamics. As for sanctions, India is seeking compromises with the US to mitigate economic risks and is also advancing its "North-South" transport corridor project through Russia to reach Europe.
The article further highlights Europe's complicated position on trade with Russia and energy imports. While the EU supports Ukraine, significant trade with Russia continues. Experts emphasize that a reduction in India's purchases of Russian oil would affect European oil markets and strengthen sanctions pressure. Beyond oil, India's strategic interests include new transport corridors reducing costs and bypassing the Suez Canal, while Turkey monitors potential alternative routes.
Overall, experts agree that the further course of negotiations, international economic relations, and the stances of global powers will have a significant impact on the conflict's development.
