This interview explores prospects for ending the war in Ukraine, emphasizing that a ceasefire poses a significant challenge for Vladimir Putin, as peace would be politically costlier for him than continuing hostilities.
Participants discuss the likelihood of new conflicts beyond Ukraine, mentioning Central Asia, the Baltic states, and Azerbaijan as potential hotspots. However, each scenario is seen as problematic for Russia due to the influence of third parties such as China and Turkey.
The conversation analyzes possible NATO non-expansion compromises and Ukraine's military aid issue. Experts believe it is possible to reach formal agreements with the West through symbolic measures, such as pledges not to deploy certain weapons systems in Eastern Europe, though these may lack practical impacts.
The interview references Western media reports about possible talks on territorial exchanges as a condition for ending the conflict. However, the participants stress a lack of clarity around such proposals and the absence of specific definitions from the US about potential territorial compromises.
It is noted that Western positions, particularly those of the US and Europe, remain ambiguous and are more focused on the negotiation process itself than on defining specific outcomes.
