An important meeting is expected soon in Alaska with US and Russian representatives, possibly including Donald Trump. Observers expect the main focus to be on prospects for peace and negotiations regarding Ukraine.
One significant step taken by Trump was increased pressure on India, leading Indian oil refineries to seek alternatives to Russian oil. This impacts Moscow’s revenues, but tougher sanctions were not implemented as expected. There is speculation that the Kremlin may try to take the initiative and propose a ceasefire.
Russia’s potential demand for Ukraine to fully leave Donetsk region in exchange for a temporary truce is among the discussed scenarios. Kyiv insists there will be no trade in territory, as reaffirmed by President Volodymyr Zelensky.
Trump finds himself in a sensitive position: Moscow is delaying harmful sanctions, while Europe and Ukraine discuss a joint stance. Shelling continues, but provocations are reportedly reduced.
Experts identify two main motives for Russia: attempting to weaken US–Ukraine unity, or buying time for internal strengthening and resumption of confrontation in a few years.
Long-term security guarantees for Ukraine remain uncertain, and any "peace" without real guarantees is viewed as unsystematic. Unlike the South Caucasus, where dialogue was established between Azerbaijan and Armenia through Turkey and US mediation, the issue for Ukraine remains unresolved.
Consultations between the US, Europe, and Ukraine are ongoing. The results of the Alaska meeting may influence future developments, but Kyiv refuses to make any sovereignty concessions.
The speaker ended by urging support for Ukrainian defense, emphasizing that the country's strength lies in its ability to protect its own borders.
