In the discussion of US international politics, experts stress that there is currently no clear trend of US adversaries or unfriendly states uniting against Washington. Regarding new tariffs on India and China, Donald Trump is not rushing with tough measures. Experts point out that tariffs on India have little impact on the US domestic market. As for China, no new tariffs are planned yet, since serious talks between the finance ministers of both countries on a trade deal are underway.
Trump faces a major domestic challenge: according to Republican polls, 75% have a negative attitude toward Russia and demand tougher action from the party leader. With the election cycle approaching, Trump’s ability to demonstrate success and take a hard line is crucial for his party’s support. Still, there have been no significant moves against Russia so far, including failure to join the international price cap on Russian oil.
There are also widespread rumors about an upcoming Trump-Putin meeting in Rome, but such a summit is unlikely as Italy is part of the International Criminal Court, putting Putin at risk of arrest. The idea of a summit appears to be used mainly as a reason to delay new sanctions or pressure on China or Russia.
Key negotiations on ending the Russia-Ukraine war may take place between representatives of the US and China. From the European side, particularly in Polish media, rumors are circulating about a possible 'freezing' of the conflict along the current frontline. However, this is seen as another piece of information rather than a real scenario.
Ukrainian experts emphasize that society will not voluntarily surrender any part of its territory. If a conflict freeze is discussed, it would be only along the existing demarcation line. Negotiations among China, Russia, and the US will be crucial, but no signs of compromise from Russia are visible at this time.
