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Will Ukraine Open Arms Exports During Wartime? Expert Discussion


Analysis of the prospects for Ukrainian arms exports: experts’ arguments, government stance, economic impact, risks and scenarios.

The topic of Ukrainian arms exports has become a subject of broad discussion in society and media. Current Defense Minister Denys Shmyhal stated that until the end of the war, Ukraine will not engage in arms exports, emphasizing the priority of supplying its own army first.

According to experts, the demand for Ukrainian weaponry among foreign partners is consistently growing. Meanwhile, the average utilization rate of the defense industry is 30–40%, indicating substantial reserves for expanding production. Manufacturers note that controlled exports after fulfilling state orders could provide a significant boost to the economy: scaling production would reduce unit costs, create jobs, and attract investment.

Specialists recognize associated risks, such as technology leakage and the need to control end users. There is ongoing discussion of selling exclusively to NATO countries, which would minimize these threats. However, the government maintains its position for now, delaying the export issue for at least six months, with further prospects depending on the war’s course and the policies of international partners.

In summary, analysts agree that launching controlled arms exports is potentially beneficial for Ukraine, but requires clear rules and national security guarantees.