Vitaliy Portnikov examines the consultations held by US President Donald Trump with European leaders and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky ahead of his summit with Vladimir Putin in Anchorage. The main focus is on the possible consequences of these talks for the Russia-Ukraine war and the Western position.
During the consultations, the risks of Trump making decisions that could negatively affect support for Ukraine were discussed. European leaders, including German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron, emphasized the inadmissibility of recognizing territories occupied by Russia. According to US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the summit is viewed as a test of Putin’s intentions regarding peace.
Portnikov highlights that concrete decisions on ending the war are not expected at the summit, but issues of ceasefire and security guarantees remain central. Key points include the need to maintain Ukraine’s territorial integrity within its internationally recognized borders, the rejection of territorial concessions, and the importance of long-term and sustainable Western support.
The risks of a ceasefire were discussed: the likelihood of Russia using it to regroup and strengthen its economy, and the need for Ukraine to enhance its defense capabilities and mobilization efforts. Special attention is given to prospects for future security guarantees for Ukraine and the threat of setting precedents that could change Europe’s security architecture.
Portnikov draws parallels with historic agreements, warning of the risks of repeating scenarios similar to Munich 1938 or Yalta 1945. He stresses that respect for international law and territorial integrity is key to peace. The summit may delay further escalation but does not guarantee lasting peace. Western unity and continuing support for Ukraine will remain crucial.
