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Why Putin Might Agree to a Temporary Ceasefire: Analysis and Implications


Expert discusses the possibility of Putin agreeing to a temporary ceasefire, his motives, and potential international consequences.

An expert suggests that, contrary to popular belief, Putin might agree to a temporary ceasefire, for example, for 15-30 days. The reasoning is that such a move could benefit the Russian leader by consolidating his international position and improving his image ahead of a possible meeting with the US president.

This meeting with the American leader is seen as a key geopolitical event that could legitimize Putin on the world stage, shifting perception from that of an international criminal to a recognized statesman. A temporary ceasefire could therefore become a bargaining chip in negotiations with the West, potentially leading to partial sanctions relief and renewed dialogue.

Declaring victory in the "special military operation" would allow the Kremlin to cement the results of its actions, even if all objectives have not been officially achieved. The expert emphasizes that the war will not truly end, but will enter a new phase involving political and informational influence. This pause could be used by Russia for regrouping, strengthening its positions, and influencing Ukrainian internal politics and international opinion.

Thus, a temporary ceasefire could serve Putin's interests now not only to secure military gains but also to rehabilitate Russia diplomatically.