In a recent interview, experts examined the prospects for future contacts and negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, with a focus on China’s influence and the economic dynamics shaping the course of the war.
The speakers noted that technical-level negotiations are currently ongoing in Istanbul, with the Ukrainian delegation changing based on the agenda. No major breakthroughs are expected until the significant international meeting in Beijing, which is scheduled for late August and will feature the Russian and Chinese leaders. According to experts, the effectiveness of negotiations depends on China’s position, as the country actively shapes Russia’s global policy while also supporting India in its confrontation with the US.
Fighting remains intense on the front lines, with Ukrainian forces conducting counteroffensive actions in several directions—an important factor affecting the negotiation process. Attention is also devoted to the actions of the US, Trump’s statements, and European leaders’ reactions regarding sanctions and support for Ukraine.
Russia’s economic situation is also crucial: reserves are shrinking, the banking sector faces risks, and trade with China is declining. Experts underline that prolonging the war weakens the Russian economy, but the Kremlin is seeking China’s support to maintain its international standing.
To conclude, analysts emphasize that China’s geopolitical interests may determine the length of the war and prospects for its resolution, while Western and US involvement will remain significant in shaping any final settlement.
