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When will the war end: foresight forecasts and realities of negotiations


US and Russian politicians on the prospects for the end of the war, negotiations and influencing factors. Ukraine, EU, US—key points.

On August 25, political analyst Ihor Chalenko tackles the question of when the war may end in his segment on the Klochok Time channel. He cites an optimistic forecast from US Vice President Jade Vance, who stated in an NBC interview that the conflict might end in three to six months. Vance also highlighted the role of President Trump’s so-called “energetic diplomacy” and the importance of compromise between Ukraine and Russia. At the same time, he admitted that talks with Russia are difficult and require significant concessions and guarantees for Ukraine.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that Russia does not insist on Russian as a state language for Ukraine, but demands the repeal of language and church laws. Lavrov also questioned President Zelensky’s legitimacy, though he acknowledged Zelensky as Ukraine’s de facto leader.

Chalenko analyzes the internal political landscape: according to polls, Zelensky and Zaluzhnyi remain leaders in public support while pro-Russian forces have little political prospect. He also notes critical statements by Hungarian and Slovak officials on the energy issue and the Druzhba oil pipeline, their positions on Ukraine’s EU integration, and the influence of Russian energy supplies.

The upcoming European Union summit, a new package of sanctions against Russia, and the issue of frozen Russian assets are also in focus. The analyst stresses that without sanction synchronization between the EU and US, pressure on Russia remains insufficient. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces continue to liberate territories in Donetsk oblast, including Novomykhailivka and several villages. Chalenko concludes by urging more support for Ukraine and asks viewers to comment and subscribe to the channel.