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Europe prepares Plan B for Ukraine amid Trump policy uncertainty


Analysis of diplomatic discussions: Europe's Plan B for Ukraine, Poland's changing stance, Trump's strategy, and Starlink support.

Europe is actively discussing an alternative "Plan B" to support Ukraine should US foreign policy change, particularly if Donald Trump ends or reduces American assistance. Insider sources suggest that closed-door meetings in Kyiv involved Western representatives raising the possibility of suspending intelligence and arms deliveries to Ukraine, and emphasizing the need for prompt elections.

Opposition leaders within Ukraine are advocating for rapid elections, aiming to reshape the political landscape. Meanwhile, the Baltics and Finland have declared readiness to finance Starlink internet for Ukraine if Poland or others restrict support.

The Polish president explained that Starlink services for Ukraine will not be turned off: funding is secured by existing law and the infrastructure will continue to operate. However, bilateral relations face challenges amid political decisions and information campaigns.

For Kyiv, key topics include protecting national identity, electoral security, and symbols. The debate over support for Ukraine reflects the strategic confusion around Trump's approach to the Russia-Ukraine war and his aspirations for international recognition, including a Nobel Prize.

The European "Plan B" involves using frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine, supplying modern weapons from current European stocks, and providing financial support. The timeframe for a possible ceasefire or end to hostilities, ranging from six months to two years, is part of ongoing diplomatic discussions. This strategic planning could respond to a change in American policy.

The future of Ukraine's political system is also under review, including lowering the parliamentary threshold, organizing rapid elections, and harmonizing actions with European partners.

Against the backdrop of Russian military aggression, support for Ukraine's armed forces continues via volunteer fundraising (notably for drone reconnaissance and vehicles), exemplifying societal solidarity.

Overall, Europe prepares for possible changes in transatlantic support, exploring independent options to aid Ukraine if US backing decreases.