Political scientist Ihor Chalenko on Klyuchok channel examines the recent Financial Times leak about a preliminary Western security plan for Ukraine. The plan features a three-tier security system, with the creation of a demilitarized zone as a key initial step, to be patrolled by peacekeepers from neutral countries.
The discussion centers on countries from the Global South, including India, Bangladesh, Nepal, South Africa, Brazil, as well as Indonesia, Egypt, Ghana, Argentina, and Algeria. Both Ukraine and Russia must approve these countries, as they must remain neutral and not raise objections from either side.
Chalenko provides a detailed analysis of India's significant peacekeeping history, along with the experience of Bangladesh and Nepal. The analysis considers logistics, climate, and the financial aspects of the missions, including soldier compensation and the importance of using states with no vested interest in Europe.
The creation of a demilitarized zone would represent both a military and political measure to prevent further escalation. However, there are concerns over whether some countries are prepared for the harsh climate or the risks associated with a possible escalation; as history shows, peacekeeping missions have previously faced difficulties, such as in the Balkans in the 1990s.
The final decision depends on Russia's consent—without its approval, a UN mandate cannot be granted. Chalenko notes that the Western initiative serves as an attempt to seek compromise with Russia to start future peace talks. The plan remains a topic for ongoing discussion at the international level.
