Relations between the so-called Russian Federation and NATO have escalated following the violation of Estonia’s airspace by Russian aircraft. While US representatives strongly condemned the actions of Russia, NATO has not taken practical measures in response. US President Donald Trump has not made an official statement and claimed he was not promptly informed of the event.
The US plans to reduce security assistance to the Baltic States and stop supplying Patriot air defense systems to Europe. This decision could negatively affect not only the defense capabilities of the Baltics but also Ukraine’s air defense, since Ukrainian partners receive these systems only if they are guaranteed replacements.
The Baltic states now find themselves in a vulnerable position due to limited military capacity and resources. Estonian officials noted the country lacks its own aviation for airspace defense and relies on NATO decisions. Italian NATO jets were on patrol in Estonian skies during the incident.
Analysts point out a deepening crisis in US-European relations and emphasize the need for European countries to strengthen their defense capabilities, reduce reliance on American support, and increase assistance to Ukraine. Boosting Europe’s militarization, reducing dependence on Russian energy, and improving aid to Ukraine’s military could give time to prepare for further escalation between Russia and NATO.
Ukraine remains central to regional security, and supporting its military is considered a guarantee of both Ukrainian and European safety. European countries are advised to prepare for new challenges and mobilize resources to strengthen defense.
