Vitaly Portnikov analyzes the latest threats from Moscow directed at Ukraine and European countries, noting the recurring provocations and absence of so-called “historic days” that could resolve the escalation.
He examines Vladimir Putin’s rhetoric about “military-technical measures,” a term used before the invasion of Ukraine, highlighting the risk of local conflict escalating into a global war between nuclear powers.
Portnikov discusses Donald Trump’s political approach, noting the American leader’s political inability to effectively respond to Russian provocations, including drone attacks in Poland and violations of Estonian airspace. Special attention is paid to NATO’s reaction and the issue of Russia’s impunity amid the absence of tough Western decisions.
The analysis concludes that increasing attacks without adequate Western response raises risks for European security. Portnikov emphasizes the need for united international action and further support for Ukraine to ensure stability in the region.