On October 2, the Center for Public Initiative "Vezha" hosted a conversation between director Valerii Klochok and political scientist Dr. Petro Oleshchuk. The discussion focused on Donald Trump's geopolitical activity, developments in the Middle East, their impact on Ukraine, and the role of Europe in future developments.
Petro Oleshchuk noted that Trump’s recent actions—such as security guarantees for Qatar and attention to the war in Gaza—indicate the United States is shifting focus from Ukraine to Middle Eastern issues. According to the expert, this situation is not necessarily negative for Ukraine as the U.S. may delegate Ukrainian support to professionals and European partners. Military-technical cooperation and arms transfers to Ukraine continue, and international support mechanisms are developing.
The prospects for peace in the Middle East were also discussed. Oleshchuk believes that proposals for a peace deal with Hamas are mainly a diplomatic gesture for Arab allies, and Hamas's refusal could serve as grounds for escalation by the U.S. and Israel. The conversation included criticism of Europe’s ability to make effective political decisions. Europe often struggles to react quickly to threats but remains ready to support Ukraine through financial and credit resources.
Special attention was devoted to Russia's tactics aimed at pressuring Ukraine’s Western partners—using drones and information campaigns to intimidate and weaken support for Ukraine in Europe. Oleshchuk emphasized that Russia’s aim is to force the West to make concessions, potentially affecting Ukraine’s future and the region as a whole.
In conclusion, the speakers highlighted the complexity of the geopolitical situation and the need for enhanced cooperation among Ukraine, Europe, and the U.S. to address current challenges.
