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Trump and the Role of Mediators in the War: Erdoğan, China, Europe and Quiet Diplomacy


Discussion of Turkey, China and other players in peace efforts regarding the war, and new US diplomatic strategies.

Recently, there has been increased diplomatic activity surrounding the war in Ukraine. Donald Trump, after meeting with Erdoğan, suggested Turkey act as a mediator for both energy purchases and peace talks. Notably, Turkey has not imposed sanctions on Russia and has stated it will not halt imports of Russian energy resources, despite US calls to do so.

Trump reportedly seeks to delegate mediation roles to Erdoğan and Europe, working through allied states rather than direct engagement. China remains a key player for future negotiation stages, with planned meetings between Trump and China's leadership potentially influencing Beijing's stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Other potential mediators such as Lukashenko, Orbán, and Fico, who maintain contacts with both Moscow and Washington, also play communication roles. With this proliferation of intermediaries, Russia faces greater difficulty maintaining stable channels with the US, complicating direct dialogue and peace initiatives. Negotiation scenarios remain dynamic amid indirect diplomacy and ongoing uncertainties.