On October 11, Ukrainian armed forces and security services launched a strike on an oil refinery in Ufa, Russia, resulting in a fire. Ukrainian drone attacks this year have hit 21 out of 38 major Russian refineries, causing a fuel supply crisis in at least 57 regions.
In response, Russia has increased attacks on Ukrainian territory, though the power supply has stabilized in most regions except Odesa. Commander Syrsky reports that Ukrainian forces struck Russia up to 70 times last month, reducing Russia's oil refining by 21%.
President Zelensky held a phone conversation with Donald Trump, discussing air defense reinforcement for Ukraine. The possible supply of Tomahawk missiles was mentioned, but no final decisions were made. The UK and Belgium continue to provide Ukraine with missiles and F-16 aircraft.
Russia has intensified information operations and cyberattacks against Poland, with Polish officials openly acknowledging the increased threat. The number of cyberattacks has tripled, posing risks to critical infrastructure.
Border tensions persist: Estonia closed a border crossing due to Russian troop build-up, and Belarus announced an unexpected combat readiness check for its army.
Russia faces a sharp decline in birth rates, leading to a mass closure of maternity wards, despite calls to increase the population. Over the past 5 years, more than 150 such facilities have closed in various regions.
North Korea also exhibited a new ballistic missile at a parade attended by a Russian delegation.
