On October 24, the Center for Civic Analytics "Vezha" hosted a political discussion with experts, including political scientists Yevhen Magda, Ihor Petrenko, and Volodymyr Fesenko. The focus was an analysis of the current situation surrounding Ukraine and support from the West and China.
The discussion covered the evolution of US and EU sanction policies toward Russia. Experts noted that the latest Trump administration sanctions are moderately strict. While their effects will take time to materialize, they send an important signal. At the same time, Western countries increasingly consider their own economic interests, which is reflected in exceptions to the sanctions packages.
The participants emphasized China's growing role but stressed that Beijing currently holds a “pro-Russian neutrality” position—not intervening actively but also not helping to stop the war. Experts believe China is interested in a weakened Russia and West, not in a quick end to the conflict.
The prospects for a coalition of Western countries as well as Ukraine’s integration into the EU were examined in detail. The speakers highlighted new challenges in relations with Europe, especially growing pragmatism and caution in aid decisions and the slow pace of reforms.
Regarding the China factor and peace opportunities, the experts concluded that the key to ending the war lies not only in Washington or Moscow. Beijing’s position and the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine remain crucial. To accelerate the end of the war, Ukraine must proactively engage Chinese companies in reconstruction and collaborate with European partners on a common China policy.
