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China, the US, and the War: Geopolitical Strategies Around Ukraine Explained


Why China remains cautious about the war in Ukraine, and how US, Europe, and potential China-US deals shape the situation.

Experts detail China's pragmatic approach to the war in Ukraine. Beijing is not interested in a swift end to the conflict, as the ongoing situation weakens ties between Europe and the US, broadening China's economic and political opportunities.

The war is also linked to transatlantic tensions. Experts note that the US may try to drive Russia away from China's influence while maintaining pressure on Moscow, complicating the regional power balance.

China prefers demonstrations of strength around Taiwan rather than direct military involvement, given the region's economic importance. Beijing's main goal with the US is to reach agreements to avoid escalation over Taiwan and stabilize trade. In this context, some see Russia as a possible subject of informal economic division between China and the US, though such scenarios remain unlikely.

The Arctic and rare earths also remain strategically important for China. Experts say normalization of US-China relations could provide new opportunities for resolving the war in Ukraine or involving China in postwar reconstruction.

According to the discussion, Ukraine should deepen cooperation with European countries to formulate a common China policy, considering economic ties and Beijing’s global ambitions. However, the main developments depend on US-China leader negotiations.