The author focuses on Donald Trump’s Asian tour, emphasizing that key decisions around the war in Ukraine are shaped far outside the country—on other continents. In particular, the meeting between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping is critical, as agreements between the US and China have global consequences. According to the author, the war in Ukraine is not the origin of a new world order, but rather its consequence. The development of new global arrangements defines the course and outcome of the war.
Meanwhile, the direct Ukraine-Russia confrontation results only in a “bloody stalemate,” not a clear victory. Therefore, the real determining factor today lies with the powers backing each side—primarily the US and China. Negotiations and compromises among global leaders are increasingly decisive for the future of the war. Special focus is placed on US-China relations, especially after shifting balances within Chinese leadership that have restricted Xi Jinping’s personal authority and raised the role of elders and military officials.
Against this backdrop, there is a notable uncertainty in Ukraine’s official position, affecting international perceptions. The author stresses that only after the Trump-Xi meeting will the strategies of the world’s leading powers become clearer. The war’s future direction and Ukraine’s international stance will largely depend on this outcome.
The author concludes by urging readers to pay close attention to these developments, as they are set to shape events in the coming weeks.
