Russian Minister Shoigu recently spoke about the possible dissolution of Russia into dozens of states, a topic that is being widely discussed in political circles. Meanwhile, Russia is setting conditions for a potential Putin-Trump summit with the US, demanding guarantees of a tangible result, and is also promising NATO that it will not attack, although doubts remain. In Europe, led by Viktor Orban, attempts are being made to form an anti-Ukrainian bloc, which could include Hungary, Slovakia and possibly the Czech Republic. Poland is currently outside these plans.
Significant shifts are underway in the energy market: India has ceased the import of Russian oil, and the company Lukoil is selling its foreign assets, signaling that Western sanctions are having a gradual effect on Russia. President Zelensky emphasizes the importance of increasing the production of interceptor drones and expects aircraft deliveries, but notes the complexity and slowness of the processes.
The heating season is beginning, accompanied by some tension between central and local authorities regarding its timing. The focus is on the need for unity to counteract Russian aggression.
The geopolitical landscape is complex: Kazakhstan is moving towards greater cooperation with the West and reducing its support for Russia, while Chinese leader Xi Jinping may play a major role in the settlement of the situation. Shoigu expresses concern over the potential breakup of Russia and the support of national minorities; meanwhile, Ukraine’s strategy is to reinforce defense, implement reforms, and apply pressure on Russia through sanctions.
President Zelensky also highlights the need for broad international support, transparent policies for military production, and the importance of donations to support the army.
