On October 31, at the Veza Center for Public Analytics, headed by Valeriy Klychko, a detailed analysis of the European peace plan for Ukraine was held with political scientist Ihor Reytorovych. The discussion focused on the role of European partners, US involvement, Russia’s position, and China’s potential in the process of ending the war.
Reytorovych emphasized that the peace plan emerged in the public domain unofficially, likely through a “leak” of a working document. The plan has 12 points and proposes a two-stage approach: first, a ceasefire and truce regime, then launching negotiations and reconstruction. He noted that its implementation is unlikely without consensus with the US and personal approval from the American administration, especially from Donald Trump if he influences the process.
Special attention was given to Russia’s reactions, particularly its desire to sign a non-aggression pact with Europe and Lavrov’s statements on security guarantees. The participants concluded that Russia currently shows no signs of real readiness to end hostilities, with such statements aiming to shift focus and strengthen its position for possible negotiations.
The discussion also covered Ukrainian information measures and President Zelensky’s statements aimed at strengthening negotiation positions. It was noted that the peace initiative is supported by both Ukraine and Europe, but its realization also depends on China’s stance. China, Brazil, and several countries from the Global South recently expressed support for a ceasefire and opposed unilateral sanctions, which may impact future talks.
Experts agree that the likelihood of the next negotiation round depends on the plan’s approval by major stakeholders—US, Russia, and China—and its prospects are also shaped by the situation at the front and the activity of world leaders.
