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Global negotiations: Impact of the Trump-Xi meeting on Ukraine, Europe, and Russia


Expert Valerii Klochok analyzes the geopolitical consequences of the Trump-Xi meeting, Russia's reaction, Europe's role, peace prospects, and expectations for Ukraine.

On Apostrof TV, Valerii Klochok, head of the Center for Public Analytics, shared his assessment of the events surrounding the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. Discussants noted that, despite the lack of major public statements or press briefings, the meeting itself was a significant event in the geopolitical arena.

Klochok emphasized that expectations outpaced actual results, but such contacts always have repercussions, even if not publicized. China has maintained its usual restraint in public statements, particularly regarding Taiwan and Ukraine. Parallel with the leaders' meeting, signals came from the 'Friends of Peace' group—countries of the Global South—regarding the need for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.

According to Klochok, it is important for Ukraine that such talks take place—ignoring or cancelling them would worsen the situation. China cautiously approaches direct initiatives, but there are signs such as easing export restrictions to the US, indicating a desire to maintain dialogue with Western nations.

The discussion also covered Russia's position: while it retains influence due to its resources and territory, it is becoming increasingly dependent on Beijing. Should a freeze or truce be reached, China and the US will shape any settlement. The EU’s role remains key, with Brussels’ funds and sanctions continuing as strong leverage against Moscow.

The expert highlighted the relevance of nuclear weapons rhetoric and military tests as tools of pressure in negotiations. Russia seeks to retain its status as an independent player but increasingly focuses on subversive information and political activities in both Europe and Ukraine. Ukraine’s subjectivity and continued partner support are essential to any successful negotiation.

In conclusion, the studio guests noted that, although the negotiation process remains unfinished, it is crucial to monitor power shifts and the roles of China and the US in shaping the future security environment for Europe and Ukraine.