In this interview, experts examine how the positions of Europe, Russia, and the US might develop regarding the war in Ukraine and share expectations for the coming years. Special attention is given to the likelihood that European countries will continue to utilize Russian gas and energy resources despite sanctions, and note the absence of a unified European stance.
The economic situation in Russia is analyzed separately — it is noted that internal crisis is expected to deepen, despite compensation to oil companies and attempts to support key oligarchic groups. Experts point out that the loyalty of Russia's closest elites is only a matter of time, and economic pressure on these elites may drive significant change.
At the same time, it is stressed that there are no current prerequisites for a fair, sustainable peace; both parties are preparing for a prolonged conflict. The US and European countries will have to adopt a more decisive stance, as Russia’s war against Ukraine is also a security challenge for all of Europe and could reshape the European security order.
Ukraine is advised to focus on solving internal problems and building its own strategic position in relations with international partners. Transparency in the use of international aid is also emphasized to avoid future accusations of corruption.
In conclusion, experts state that the situation is one of 'endless war' with no immediate prospects for sustainable peace, but under certain conditions, internal crises in Russia or changing approaches of Western partners could impact the course of the conflict.
