Experts discuss the likelihood that Russia will agree to a peace plan involving a ceasefire followed by negotiations. At present, Russia does not show any signs of willingness to accept such a scenario. The conversation also examines Lavrov's suggestion of a non-aggression pact with Europe and the lack of concrete security guarantees for Ukraine. The Russian side is seen as using the issue of guarantees as a tool for manipulation and delaying the negotiation process.
It is noted that Putin is focused on showing victories to an external audience, especially to Trump, rather than to Europe. This is likely an effort to strengthen Russia's negotiating position following limited successes, particularly near Pokrovsk. The article also analyzes how Russia’s rhetoric and information campaigns serve to distract from the situation on the front and Moscow's reluctance to end the war.
In conclusion, the experts suggest that Russia's statements are aimed more at displaying power and conducting external diplomacy than at taking real steps towards peace. The prospects for negotiations remain open and depend largely on developments at the front and the position of international players—especially the US and the potential role of Trump.
