The war will end when it becomes unprofitable for Ukraine’s partners. Political expert highlights that the Western countries’ policies, especially the US and Europe, largely determine the course of the conflict, including sanctions on Russia and military assistance levels.
He notes that how long the war lasts depends heavily on European interests: “When Europe can no longer impose sanctions, the issue of ending the war will arise.” The United States’ support for Ukraine is also subject to changing political positions, including that of Donald Trump.
The expert emphasizes that although Trump promised to support Ukraine with arms, in reality no weapons were provided. The US does, however, intensify sanctions against Russia, affecting both the European market and EU internal relations.
The article highlights complex relations within Europe, specifically the roles of leaders like Orban and Fico, and the need for Europe to seek new security guarantees, such as with China. Another focus is the effort by NATO and the EU to increase their own arms production, already surpassing Russia’s output.
An issue discussed is the management of frozen Russian assets and the concern about direct Ukrainian control. The expert recommends a special European fund for the distribution of these funds. Most current aid is allocated to the social sector; less is available for military needs.
Diplomatic efforts remain key: Ukraine constantly appeals for partners to intensify pressure on Russia. However, the West’s economic interests in Russia sometimes outweigh the push to end the conflict.
The piece concludes by pointing to the popularity of populism among voters both in Ukraine and in the West, shaping political choices and global developments.
