In an interview, expert Valeriy commented on recent statements by Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov about Moscow's desire to end the war in Ukraine as soon as possible, but only after achieving certain unspecified objectives. Peskov also suggested that support for peace on Russian terms in Ukraine will grow and stated that Russia remains open to a political and diplomatic settlement.
According to Valeriy, these statements are intended not only for the Russian audience but also to strengthen the Kremlin's negotiating position internationally. He also pointed out the recruitment of reservists in Russia to guard military facilities, describing this as a new wave of mobilization in response to losses at the front.
Additionally, Valeriy noted Russia's internal economic difficulties, acknowledged even by official Russian sources. However, he said this does not deter the Kremlin from seeking control over four regions of Ukraine and Crimea. He believes Moscow has no intention of relinquishing these territories, even in future negotiations.
Valeriy assessed that claims of readiness for dialogue are part of a broader strategy involving both military and diplomatic pressure on Ukraine. He stressed that for Moscow, these tools are complementary, and negotiations are possible only after it secures control over the specified Donbas regions and Crimea.
The expert also highlighted the relevance of renewed talks between Russia and the US, particularly on strategic offensive weapons. Russian statements are accompanied by pressure on Europe via energy leverage and attempts to influence public opinion to weaken support for Ukraine.
Valeriy concluded that for the EU and NATO, maintaining Ukraine as a sovereign state remains a key interest, even if territorial issues are not a top western priority. In the coming months, European support for Ukraine will remain critical, though its volume may fluctuate due to EU internal political debates.
