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Ukraine-US-Europe Negotiations: Key Points and Future Prospects


Political analyst Vadym Denysenko analyzes talks between Ukraine, the US, and Europe, outlining the prospects and main conditions of a future deal.

On November 4, as part of the "Vezha Public Analytics Center" project, political analyst Vadym Denysenko discussed the current status of negotiations between Ukraine and its international partners. Denysenko stated that the recently published 28-point document is merely one phase in ongoing discussions, and many of its provisions could eventually be incorporated into a final peace agreement with Russia after the war’s end. The main negotiation blocks include territorial issues, the reform of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, humanitarian aspects (language, religion), and the possible lifting of sanctions on Russia.

Among the sensitive aspects, Denysenko highlighted debates over the size of Ukraine’s armed forces in the postwar period and the willingness of international partners to help finance their upkeep. He emphasized that developing a concrete strategy for the military’s structure should be prioritized to determine the country’s real defense needs. Regarding proposals for Ukrainian neutrality, Denysenko noted that while NATO membership is not a realistic prospect for the next decade or more, agreeing to legal neutrality would restrict Ukraine’s future participation in military alliances.

The potential role of China also received attention—Denysenko believes Beijing will maintain a wait-and-see stance until its involvement in talks becomes pivotal for achieving a settlement. In summary, the expert underscored that a final agreement is unlikely in the near term, and renewed negotiations should not be expected before the spring of 2026.