Valeriy shared his views on whether President Zelensky will sign a peace agreement, asserting that the current leader will not sign a final document. Instead, he expects that only a ceasefire agreement to freeze hostilities will be reached by military authorities, with further talks lasting up to six months and taking place amid Ukrainian elections. If Zelensky is not reelected, it would likely fall to the new president to sign a comprehensive peace deal.
Valeriy highlights that the US Democratic Party lacks sufficient compromising materials against Trump, who seeks to manage the narrative through information tactics. If Ukraine does not propose its own peace plan, he suggests that Russia and the US will set the terms. In his view, Europe desires a frozen conflict to delay regional security threats.
The expert doubts that Russia will withdraw from all occupied territories, except possibly parts of the Kharkiv region. The agreement currently under discussion would only freeze the war, with Ukraine’s key task being the preservation of its sovereignty. Economic issues in Russia are a prime reason for a freeze, as a total collapse would not benefit the US, EU, or Russia itself.
Valeriy supports maintaining sanctions on Russia as part of any agreement. He also notes Europe’s reluctance for a ceasefire without concrete security guarantees, as progress on building a united European military remains slow.
He concludes by advocating for a new security alliance, similar to a Baltic-Black Sea union, with Ukraine as a central military member to address future threats.
