An expert discusses the possibility that China may use the ongoing war in Ukraine to strengthen its position on Taiwan. China is consistently building its resources, purchasing gold and oil, and consolidating its shipbuilding industry to boost its fleet. The prolonged war in Ukraine benefits China by diverting the attention of the US and Europe.
A potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan is expected around 2027. The most likely scenario involves a maritime blockade, as China aims to avoid infrastructure destruction since Taiwan is a key center for chip and electronics manufacturing. Political and economic pressure are expected to be Beijing’s primary tools.
The significant trade volume between China and Taiwan and Taiwan’s leading role in semiconductor production make the region strategically vital for Beijing. Gaining control over these technologies would give China the economic and technological leap needed for regime stability.
The expert also notes that a prolonged war in Ukraine weakens global competitors, favoring China. The US and Europe may lack the resources to effectively respond to Chinese actions against Taiwan. China will likely seek to prolong the conflict in Ukraine, supporting Russia until ready to act on Taiwan.
