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Analysis of Trump’s Peace Plan: Why the Russia-Ukraine War Doesn’t End


Vitaliy Portnikov examines the prospects for Trump’s peace plan, the roles of the US, Russia and Ukraine in negotiations, and the risks for Kyiv.

In his analysis, Vitaliy Portnikov explores the developments around the so-called Trump plan for ending the Russia-Ukraine war. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and the head of his office Andriy Yermak have announced readiness for further talks, including a potential meeting with Donald Trump. While the Ukrainian side shows willingness for dialogue, the negotiations remain tense due to different territorial approaches between U.S. and Ukrainian delegations.

Portnikov notes that agreeing on certain points between American and Ukrainian teams does not guarantee an outcome acceptable for Russia. The Kremlin is focused on prolonging the war and rejects compromises, citing its stance on critical territories. The analyst explains that the Trump plan, if adopted without consideration from Russia, will not lead to ending the conflict.

Portnikov also examines the possibility of Russia leveraging various threats, including nuclear, rather than large-scale military action. He highlights the influence of American officials and business interests among the plan’s authors.

The piece underlines that any scheduled meetings or agreements are not a guarantee for peace, and responsibility for failed talks could shift between Zelensky and Putin. Russia remains interested in a long-term conflict, aiming to exhaust Ukraine and undermine its economy and society.

According to Portnikov, Ukraine must defend its position and avoid internal destabilization. The real solution lies in increasing pressure on Russia’s economy, not in illusory deals with the aggressor.