On December 2, the Center for Public Analytics 'Vezha' discussed with Dr. Petro Oloshchuk, a political scientist, the current stage of negotiations in Moscow involving US representatives, Trump’s circle, and the Ukrainian and international response. It was confirmed in the discussion that a delegation headed by Vitkov and Kushner had arrived at the Kremlin for talks with Vladimir Putin. The Ukrainian president is waiting for updates on the results of these negotiations.
The parties’ counterproposals, concerning the previously published 28-point plan, were discussed. Experts noted the high level of secrecy and information restrictions around the talks, as well as the likelihood that Russia is setting unrealistic demands that could provide grounds for future escalation. This approach was previously observed in the Minsk agreements.
External actors play a significant role. The German Foreign Minister publicly stated that Ukraine may have to accept difficult compromises, including the possibility of a referendum. Diplomatic and economic pressure on Ukraine is noted, such as curtailed arms deliveries and hesitation from the European Central Bank on reparations loans.
The broadcast raised the issue of China’s involvement—mentioning potential participation of the Chinese minister in Moscow and an upcoming visit by French President Macron to Beijing. This may indicate efforts to involve China in shaping possible agreements or to establish an alternative diplomatic platform in response to US and Russian moves.
The roles of Poland and European security were also mentioned. The Polish president expressed concerns about possible new Russian claims and Europe’s future security. The hosts discussed that, even if a formal ceasefire agreement is reached, Ukraine could face unfeasible conditions that may serve as a pretext for renewed aggression.
The article concludes with reflections on the political maneuvering of President Zelensky’s team and strategies of international players, highlighting the significance of further diplomatic steps and the role of key global leaders in the peace process.
