On December 5, the Veza Public Analytics Center hosted a discussion about crucial changes in Ukraine's internal political environment. The conversation centered on how internal policy and reshuffles in the country's leadership define progress in negotiations around the war with Russia.
The discussion included recent information about the potential change of head of the Presidential Office. It was emphasized that the identity of the Presidential Office chief largely influences Ukraine’s position in talks with the US and Russia. Several candidates are under consideration, and each could steer the negotiation process in a new direction. Delegation of authority within the president’s team plays a significant role in shaping scenarios for peace or further military escalation.
The speakers analyzed the unique decision-making structure in Ukraine—outcomes depend not only on formal presidential directives but also on the influence of the president’s inner circle. The dismissal of former Office Chief Andriy Yermak was reviewed, with discussion of the reasons and consequences for Ukraine’s negotiation track.
Attention was also given to the possibility of submitting key issues to a referendum or dividing political responsibility between the president, parliament, and executive branch. Different scenarios to end the war were discussed, including a ceasefire, ongoing talks, international partner pressure, and rumors about possible demilitarization of Donbas areas under international control.
The discussion also highlighted the weak role of the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament) in the negotiation process and stressed the importance of parliamentary involvement in future talks. Lawmakers' decisions will affect the prospects for peace and national security.
In conclusion, analysts observed that Ukraine’s political strategy hinges on forthcoming appointments and willingness to share political responsibility. The president’s choice for Office Chief will signal the direction—toward compromise, reinforcement of the executive, or a new balance within Ukraine’s branches of power regarding war and peace.
