On December 11, the Center for Public Analytics “Vezha” discussed the current state of negotiations on a possible freeze of the Russia-Ukraine war. The discussion featured the center's head, Valerii Klachuk, and political scientist and international relations expert Maksym Nesvitailov.
The experts analyzed the latest diplomatic news and meetings involving the US, European, and Russian leaders, highlighting the unprecedented intensity of contacts. Despite this activity, Nesvitailov pointed out that there are no clear signs of Russia’s readiness for compromise, and the information space is often used to increase pressure on Ukraine rather than to signal real progress.
The analysis emphasized China’s position, which, according to the experts, plays a pivotal role alongside Russia in deciding whether to freeze the conflict. The outcome may depend on coordinated efforts between Moscow and Beijing. Economic factors were also discussed, including the potential return of Russia to the global market if the conflict is frozen and the role of US interests in such scenarios.
Specific proposals on the negotiation table were mentioned, such as the creation of a demilitarized zone, compromises regarding some Ukrainian regions, and the limited involvement of NATO. Risks for Ukraine were addressed, including weakened public mobilization, delays in receiving reparations or loans, and Europe’s continued support, alongside the unpredictable role of China.
The program concluded by stressing that the peace process remains complex and uncertain. Despite the diplomatic drive, the prospects for freezing the war are still unclear, as many factors remain unresolved.
