A recent expert commentary analyzed the ongoing international negotiations concerning Ukraine, focusing on the involvement of the United States, European nations, Russia, and Ukraine. The expert noted similarities with previous diplomatic rounds, mentioning both intelligence and supply-related pressures, as well as sanctions on Russian energy companies implemented by the Trump administration. Despite some easing of restrictions, sanctions continue to significantly affect Russia's economic situation.
Russia proposed signing a fundamental treaty and presented a 28-point 'peace plan,' but its contents remain unacceptable to Ukraine. The US and European countries act as mediators, working to find compromise solutions. Cautious optimism has been expressed by core participants in the talks.
The main stumbling block is control over territories, especially those currently held by Ukraine. Ukraine refuses to relinquish any of its lands, recognizes none of the occupied territories, and does not accept other forms of concession. At the same time, progress is reported in areas of security guarantees, including possible US air support and potential European troop presence in Ukraine.
The future agreement may involve Ukraine refraining from NATO membership in exchange for direct security guarantees from the US and Europe, approved by the US Congress. In response, Russia is intensifying claims over 'Novorossiya' and raising the stakes, complicating compromise efforts.
The expert emphasized that most of the agreement has been settled, except for territorial arrangements. Ukraine maintains its right to retain control over all areas currently under its authority. Significant attention is also given to international assistance, reconstruction, and compensation for military families. The US side proposes allocating frozen funds to support Ukraine and its recovery.
The final part of the address highlights the importance of continued support for Ukraine's defense forces and volunteers. The expert advises vigilance and ongoing support for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, noting some positive developments in the negotiation process.
