Journalist, writer, and TV presenter Vitaliy Portnikov shared his views on the possibility of a peace agreement in the Russia-Ukraine war by the end of the year. He pointed out that there are currently no objective prerequisites for signing such an agreement. In his opinion, negotiations will be drawn out over time, while the war will continue until one side's resources are exhausted.
Portnikov emphasized that there are two main scenarios: either the Russian economy and army will deteriorate to the point where Russia cannot continue fighting, or the Ukrainian state will face defeat. He believes neither side is willing to make significant concessions. Therefore, the conflict could last several more years and follow a "Syrian scenario," with periods of intense fighting and temporary truces.
Portnikov also highlighted the vital importance of Western support for Ukraine and addressed the use of frozen Russian assets. He believes Ukraine cannot survive without active assistance from its partners, and its defeat would have serious consequences for Central European countries.
The journalist drew attention to the threat of war escalation and possible attempts by Russia to intimidate Europe through attacks and threats. He noted that European countries understand Ukraine’s strategic importance. According to Portnikov, the coming years may be even more difficult, and only a significant exhaustion of Russia could alter the course of the war.
Portnikov concluded that peace will only be possible when Russia loses both the will and the resources to continue its military aggression.
