German Foreign Minister Johann Vadiful stated that Ukraine could consider territorial concessions only if it receives robust security guarantees. At the same time, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius recently noted there's no sign Russia is ready for peace, reflecting divergent EU views on the negotiation process's future.
Analysts point out that European officials' rhetoric is increasingly aligning with the so-called "Trump plan" for a war freeze—peace negotiations with frontlines remaining as they are. Key leaders from Finland, France, Britain, and others are open to freezing the conflict rather than full capitulation or formal territorial transfers to Russia.
There are suggestions that fighting and negotiations may continue simultaneously, as seen previously. Official Kyiv confirms ongoing talks with international partners, especially regarding US and European security guarantees. President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that basic principles for future agreements have been set, although the process is complicated and Russian attacks continue.
Western experts and media emphasize territorial concessions are only possible in return for concrete long-term security guarantees. The US maintains its position of not recognizing Russia's annexation of Crimea, and any sanctions relief would require political agreements.
Russia faces growing economic challenges, and its political elite is shifting towards seeking a war freeze. Observers note that both sides are exhausted, with behind-the-scenes negotiations ongoing and a possible agreement in the future. However, effective guarantees for Ukraine depend on the West's genuine readiness to support Kyiv. Experts recommend closely monitoring changes in the rhetoric of world leaders and ongoing discussions in the US and Europe, where military and financial aid for Ukraine remains a contentious issue.
