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Trump’s Political Outlook, US Role, and the Risks of a New War: Expert Analysis


An expert analyzes Donald Trump’s prospects, US policy on Ukraine, and the risks of a global conflict involving China and Russia.

An expert shared their vision of Donald Trump’s political future in the context of current political processes in the United States. According to the specialist, despite numerous investigations and cases against Trump, he is unlikely to lose his office prematurely. The main struggle in the US now revolves around the influence of the Republicans and Trump’s ability to promote his decisions during the second half of his term, which may be challenging.

On the issue of US support for Ukraine, the expert stresses that expectations of significant increases in aid under Trump are unfounded. As with European countries, Western strategy is leaning more toward strengthening their own defense capabilities rather than providing large-scale military aid to Ukraine. The funding provided in the US budget, the expert argues, is minimal and does not signal a change in approach.

Concerning threats to Europe and the likelihood of a large-scale war, the interviewee points to the danger of coordinated actions between Russia and China. While China currently does not agree to limits on strategic arms, its main constraint remains economic ties with Europe and interest in these markets.

The expert emphasizes the need for Ukraine to seek alternative strategic partners, primarily among European countries, and to reduce reliance on the “kind Uncle Sam.” They also highlight the importance of Europe shifting its industries, including toward India, to decrease dependence on China.

In conclusion, the expert notes that global leaders must rethink strategies to contain China and Russia, develop new alliances, and strengthen their own defense capabilities to prevent a new global conflict.