This article discusses the challenges of holding elections and a referendum amid ongoing war in Ukraine, in the context of recent Russian attacks on Kyiv and other regions. Russian strikes targeting civilian infrastructure aim to destabilize society and create pressure for capitulation. However, such actions typically strengthen Ukrainians’ resolve.
The increased international focus on the possibility of elections and a referendum is noted. President Volodymyr Zelensky does not rule out a referendum on the so-called peace plan if a ceasefire is reached. There are debates in Ukraine on the technical and political aspects of elections during war: online voting, participation of soldiers, displaced persons, and citizens abroad.
Holding elections under martial law faces numerous technical and security challenges: lack of safe conditions, issues of legitimacy, cybersecurity risks, and the threat of societal division. A referendum concerning territorial integrity contradicts Ukraine’s Constitution and cannot be legalized, even with majority approval.
The political consequences of such processes are extremely dangerous for statehood, creating risks for societal unity and increasing instability. The author calls for focusing efforts on strengthening national defense, rather than discussing elections or referendums, highlighting the importance of army reform and support for Ukrainian soldiers.
The material also contains answers to audience questions on prospects for a ceasefire, mobilization, Kyiv’s security, and changes in military leadership. In summary, the main conclusion is that during war, discussing elections and territorial compromises presents a mortal danger to Ukraine’s statehood.
