This analysis recaps recent trilateral negotiations among Volodymyr Zelensky, Donald Trump, and Vladimir Putin. The meeting took place at Mar-a-Lago, where Trump expressed belief in Russia’s constructive intentions for rebuilding Ukraine. The author notes these statements were primarily diplomatic, aiming to present Trump as a neutral mediator seeking a balanced deal.
Both sides approach a potential settlement differently: Russia insists on a 28-point agreement, while Ukraine advocates for a 20-point plan with strong long-term security guarantees from the US and Europe. For Ukraine, enduring security is paramount; however, Washington leans toward shifting responsibility to Europe, promising support mainly in the event of serious escalation. The analysis stresses Ukraine needs any Russian threat to trigger immediate Western reaction.
Negotiations also addressed territorial disputes, NATO membership, missile development, and demilitarization of Donbas. The author believes Moscow intends to lengthen talks to avoid more severe sanctions, feigning interest in a peaceful outcome, while core disagreements persist.
American and Ukrainian delegations— including Rubio, Hexit, Kushner, Stefanisch, and Economy Minister Soboliv— participated in the meeting. Discussions focused on NATO-style security guarantees for decades into the future, but no binding commitments have been reached, leaving decisions pending US and European political will.
Russia continues to demand control over the entire Donbas and recognition of the annexation of Crimea and four other regions. It shows no intent to compromise on these key issues. The US, by contrast, has offered a free economic zone in Donbas and a freeze on the front line as an alternative solution.
The author concludes that prospects for a peace agreement remain uncertain for now, but diplomatic contacts and working group meetings continue. Coalition summits are scheduled early next year to finalize contributions to security guarantees. While peace appears distant, ongoing international pressure remains critical for strengthening Ukraine’s position.
