On December 29, experts from the Center for Public Analytics "Vezha" discussed the results of the Miami negotiations involving Volodymyr Zelensky, Donald Trump, and the background of Russian statements. Political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko joined the studio to comment.
Fesenko noted that the meeting's outcome offers little reason for optimism. The main reason for skepticism is Russia's intransigence on core issues—rejecting a ceasefire during preparations for a Donbas referendum, unwillingness to negotiate directly with Ukraine, and a push for recognition of annexed territories. The US position remains strict, but no joint action plan with Ukraine was reached, especially on a ceasefire and territorial status.
The role of Washington in security guarantees was also discussed. Promises to support Ukraine are not concretely defined, and it is not clear whether this means military assistance at NATO Article 5 level or only consultations and arms supplies.
Russia maintains its position: first a peace agreement, then a ceasefire. Ukraine's scenario, which would see elections and a referendum ahead of any final agreement, is not supported by Moscow. Trump nominally backs talks, but his comments about Russian concessions surprised both Zelensky and the Ukrainian public.
The possible future role of former commander Valerii Zaluzhnyi and the impact of his potential return on Ukraine's domestic politics and presidential elections were also analyzed. The discussion also addressed potential risks surrounding a suggested phone call between Zelensky and Putin amid Trump’s initiative.
Experts concluded that no breakthrough in the peace process should be expected soon: Russia's position remains unyielding, and the US acts mostly as a mediator. Negotiations are ongoing in working groups, but prospects for a swift resolution remain uncertain.
