On January 2, 2026, the Vezha Public Analytics Center, led by Valeriy Klochok, held a studio roundtable with experts Hlib Ostapenko, Kostiantyn Matvienko, and Oleh Penziyn, focusing on Ukraine's domestic and foreign policy.
The discussion addressed the results of 2025, the ongoing peace talks, and key players’ positions: the US, Russia, and Ukraine. Speakers noted that while negotiations continue, there are no direct talks between Kyiv and Moscow. The US acts as a mediator but, without direct Russian involvement, the process remains limited. Russia, they said, aims to drag out the process. Security guarantees and the role of the US Congress are key issues.
Panelists described the war as a “war of attrition.” Russia faces economic difficulties due to sanctions and falling oil revenues. Ukraine, meanwhile, faces constrained resources and depends on Western support. Sanctions against Russia are seen as critical and would only be eased after all occupied territories are liberated and reparations paid.
Donald Trump’s role was discussed, especially how economic interests and influence from financial groups drive his actions, often leading to transactional approaches with sponsors and partners. The possibility of Tomahawk missile deliveries and US arms sales to Europe were also examined.
The feasibility of holding elections in Ukraine during martial law was debated. Participants agreed this is unlikely due to security and political risks as well as outside partner pressure.
Finally, the emphasis was on Ukraine's strategy—maintaining resilience and focusing on long-term goals. The war of attrition requires resources and societal unity; future strategic choices can only be made after security key issues are resolved and fighting ends.
