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Sanctions Against Russia: Is Lifting Them Possible Without Ending the War?


Discussion of potential US sanctions relief for certain Russian legal entities, the role of China and Iran, investigations into violations, and the EU's stance.

Recently, a debate has emerged over the possibility of lifting sanctions against Russia without a complete end to the war. Experts point out that the United States has already started lifting restrictions for some Russian individuals and legal entities, including those related to the country's defense sector. The US Department of the Treasury is responsible for these decisions.

Some sanctions were recently lifted from a former top manager of a Russian plant, and US authorities have ceased tracking a tanker transporting oil from Venezuela. These moves are seen as signals that the United States may be open to wider sanctions relief, though they have yet to significantly benefit the Russian economy.

It is also noted that Russia's economy is being sustained by cooperation with China and Iran, who provide machinery and technologies through intermediary companies. Purchases of oil by China and India further support Russia’s finances, allowing continued military operations.

For Russia’s leadership, the economy is important, but the main motive remains political and geopolitical struggle. The Kremlin appears ready to sacrifice the well-being of regional populations to maintain control in cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg, and pursue the conflict.

Particular attention was given to the investigation into the vessel “Faitborg,” suspected of damaging cables in the Baltic Sea while transporting sanctioned materials to Israel and St. Petersburg. Finnish authorities have launched an investigation, while the EU highlights ongoing risks to critical infrastructure from such activity.

Amidst these events, a New York Times publication reported alleged Russian attempts to influence the negotiation process to end the war, including calls for the US and Donald Trump to publicly endorse handing Donbas to Russia. However, no official documents confirming such agreements exist, and the question of freezing the conflict remains unresolved.

In summary, sanctions policy toward Russia, its economic resilience, and diplomatic maneuvers continue to be major points of international debate.