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Trump's Geopolitics: Consequences of the Venezuela Operation, Impact on Russia, China, and the Oil Market


Analysis of the risks and geopolitical effects of the US military operation in Venezuela and its impact on Russia, China, oil, and regional dynamics.

The recent US military operation in Venezuela, led by Donald Trump, marks a significant moment in current geopolitics. Experts note that the event concerns not only oil resources but also the global balance of power, particularly affecting Russia's and China's positions.

Historically, Venezuela has attracted American investments in the oil sector, but nationalization and a "socialist experiment" turned the country into a complex economic partner. Years of sanctions were in place, yet only a military intervention led to a regime change. The result—a weakening of Russian and Chinese influence in the region—will also affect the global oil market.

Russia and China have long-term interests in Venezuela, which makes their reaction restrained yet concerned. The operation sends a message that the US is ready to act assertively for its interests, particularly by controlling drug trafficking and stabilizing oil flows. Domestically, it's a demonstration of power and a means to strengthen US control in the region, including over the Arctic, Mexico, and Canada.

Analysts believe the weakening of Russian and Chinese positions in Latin America is a key signal for international markets. Direct US control of Venezuelan oil could influence world prices in the longer term, while the return of American investors may transform the energy sector.

The regime change in Venezuela signals a renewed path of democratic development, making it harder for dictators to retain power. Experts forecast that such US operations are unlikely to be repeated with stronger adversaries like Russia or China, but Washington's strategic readiness to shape regional processes is now clear.