Currently, negotiations to resolve the war in Ukraine are at an impasse. Experts note that Russia is facing a dilemma in the four-party format with Europe, Ukraine, and the United States. Moscow lacks a clear response to the joint US-Ukrainian position on territorial issues.
Despite statements about attacks on strategic sites and information campaigns, these efforts have had little impact on the overall situation. Russia seeks to delay negotiations, aligning with its own interests, while Ukraine aims for constructive dialogue with the US and Europe, focusing on security guarantees.
A key stumbling block is the question of mechanisms for monitoring a potential ceasefire agreement. Russia refuses to recognize Europeans and NATO as neutral observers, only considering the US as a possible mediator should an agreement be reached.
The pause in negotiations is also influenced by political and internal factors. Ukraine is engaging in political maneuvers, raising the topics of elections and referendums as elements of pressure. Meanwhile, both sides are running low on resources due to the prolonged war.
Experts stress that Ukraine is not interested in stalling the process but seeks compromise with the West. Resolving issues of monitoring and security guarantees remains crucial. The situation is far from resolution, and the negotiation process may be prolonged further.
