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Geopolitical Analysis: Trump's Statements on Russia, the Situation at the Front, and International Support for Ukraine


Overview of Trump's comments on Russia, front-line developments, Western support for Ukraine, shifts in energy markets, and Ukraine's domestic politics.

Former US President Donald Trump has claimed he knows Russia well and assures the country will not attack again. He promises to guarantee peace, but similar proclamations have been made before without tangible results. Trump has repeatedly stated he could end the war in 24 or 48 hours, yet the conflict persists.

Meanwhile, global energy markets are shifting: Venezuela, now reengaging the market with US support, is moving away from cooperation with Russia. India’s top oil buyer is seeking alternatives to Russian supplies. Some analysts suggest that Iran’s weakening could trigger further decline for Russia.

Domestically in Ukraine, the parliamentary committee has not supported the dismissal of the head of the SBU; Cloud is being considered as a replacement. NATO has stated it will not be intimidated by Russian threats and remains committed to supporting Ukraine.

In Transnistria, Ukraine’s actions to impede Russian military supplies could pave the way for Moldovan control. The region’s Russian forces face increasing isolation as Ukraine blocks fuel and arms shipments.

On the frontline, Ukraine continues to defend its territories, with ongoing coordination and support from Western partners being crucial. Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny’s strategic influence endures, despite his removal from Kyiv.

Ukraine’s political landscape is seeing new appointments and dismissals within government agencies. While tensions exist between parliament and the president, consensus on key security issues is being sought.

The article also notes volunteer fundraising efforts to acquire quad bikes for the ICORР unit on the Kupyansk front, urging public support for the initiative.