On January 15, an interview was conducted with Volodymyr Ohryzko, head of the Center for Russian Studies and former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine. The conversation focused on the future of NATO, the impact of Donald Trump's policies on Euro-Atlantic security, the issue of Greenland, and security guarantees for Ukraine.
The recent meetings between leaders from Denmark, the US, and Europe regarding the potential US purchase of Greenland have prompted Europe to reconsider its defense posture and the need for independent security initiatives. Ohryzko emphasized that deeper challenges exist beyond the future of NATO, most notably threats to the entire system of international relations. In his view, Trump’s approach and disregard for international law destabilize established alliances.
According to Ohryzko, Europe is realizing the necessity to build its own defense capabilities—whether a European army or security forces independent of the US. Trump's rhetoric acts as a catalyst for these changes, motivating Europeans to increase defense spending and reboot defense industrial capacities.
The conversation also covered security guarantees for Ukraine, possible shifts in US and European approaches toward Ukraine, and the continued war with Russia. Ohryzko assesses that Trump views Russia as a useful partner rather than a strategic supporter of Ukraine, and that security guarantees from the US or EU remain vague. The expert sees Ukraine’s strong military as the most reliable protection.
He also expressed skepticism about the likelihood of concrete security arrangements in the current international environment, arguing that European partners remain hesitant to undertake decisive independent action. In conclusion, he underscored the importance for Ukraine to strengthen its own defense and not rely solely on external guarantees.
