Recent political developments suggest that European leaders are open to direct dialogue with Vladimir Putin about the war in Ukraine. The spokesperson for the European Commission indicated that negotiations between Europe and Russia could take place at a certain point, coinciding with the US and the Trump administration taking center stage as key coordinators in the peace process.
Publicly, Donald Trump has emphasized that NATO is not the main security factor, focusing instead on the United States' role, which influences the international balance of power in negotiations. Meanwhile, representatives of the former US president are actively engaging with European officials, but the EU has yet to show sufficient initiative as an independent mediator.
Political experts note that reaching an agreement with Russia partially depends on the US position. Russia is insisting that Ukraine withdraw from Donetsk region, which, privately, observers believe does not guarantee a lasting cessation of hostilities. American partners are hopeful for such a compromise, though it may be a strategic move by Russia.
Historical precedents show that following "goodwill gestures," Russia has frequently resumed military action. Experts advise immediate preventive safeguards to avoid repeating this pattern.
Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba is convinced that hostilities may stop in 2024 to allow for elections and a referendum, yet predicts renewed conflict by 2027. This scenario could align with internal strategic plans of the US and Europe regarding the conflict’s resolution.
The article also highlights Ukraine's role in preserving NATO unity. Experts believe recent years have shown that Ukraine has driven the Alliance to reevaluate its strategic objectives and reinforce European security measures.
