On January 16, 2026, Adam Kadyrov, son of Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, was seriously injured in a car accident involving his motorcade in Grozny. Reports indicate the convoy was speeding when it crashed into an obstacle. Some sources claim Adam was driving with friends at the time. After the crash, Adam was hospitalized in a coma, with roads to the hospital blocked. Later, it was reported his condition improved and he was being prepared for transport to Moscow.
Rumors circulated that other prominent individuals died in the accident, but these were denied. However, neither Chechen nor Russian official media reported details about Adam’s condition, raising suspicions about its severity.
Adam Kadyrov is Ramzan Kadyrov’s third son but has been groomed as the main successor, receiving numerous positions and state awards. In 2023, he was at the center of a scandal for assaulting a prisoner, Nikita Zhuravel. Despite public attention, no criminal case was opened against Adam. Subsequently, the Chechen elite actively promoted him as future leader.
Ramzan Kadyrov’s health has long been a concern. Due to illness, he accelerated Adam’s political promotion, despite his young age (18). According to Chechen law, the head of the republic must be at least 30 years old. Therefore, a regent would be needed for 12 years if power passed to Adam now.
Key contenders for power in the event of a succession crisis include Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov. Their prospects depend on support from both the Kremlin and local elites. Any change could lead to a dramatic redistribution of influence and instability.
Chechnya’s unique situation is characterized by a system built around Ramzan Kadyrov’s personal authority, without enduring institutions. If he dies or Adam is incapacitated, a serious power vacuum could result, leading to increased clan rivalry and possible federal intervention.
